MUMBAI: BJP likely to get around 32 seats with a vote share of 33 per cent in the upcoming Delhi assembly polls, predicts ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen opinion poll. Congress is predicted to get 25 seats with 26 per cent vote share. Arvind Kejriwal likely to get 10 seats with 23 per cent vote share.
According to the ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen, there are 15-20 seats which are being won by a narrow margin of 2%. These seats could impact the final outcome. We have tried to simulate three According to the ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen survey, more than half of all respondents surveyed (56%) feel that BJP would benefit in the upcoming assembly elections by naming Dr. Harsh Vardhan as the Chief Minister candidate. Both Dr. Harsh Vardhan and Arvind Kejriwal are neck and neck when it comes to the most preferred CM. From the cross tab it can deduce that 10 per cent of respondents who intend to vote for BJP prefer Arvind Kejriwal as the most preferred CM candidate.
As per the ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen survey, Sheila Dikshit has to bear the brunt of the corruption charges involving the Central government. According to the survey, the reason for switch from BJP to AAP is because of the leader of AAP: the Kejriwal appeal.
Inflation - major reasons for switch from INC to BJP or AAP
According to the ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen survey, inflation is the key factor working against INC. People do recognize the work done by the Sheila Dikshit government over the last several years but rampant inflation seems to have wiped out the goodwill. As per the survey, people feel that if the Delhi govt. wants it can control inflation, hence the resentment.
As per the ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen survey, AAP is seen as a party that can bring down corruption; BJP is seen as a party that can control inflation and INC is seen as a party that can maintain law and order.
Main reason for party switch from INC to either BJP or AAP is the perceived inability of the Congress government to control rising prices.
Soaring vegetable prices may prove to be a deciding factor in polls
According to the ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen survey, a vast majority (81%) feels that the soaring vegetable prices may prove to be the deciding factor in the upcoming assembly elections. Majority (64%) feels that Delhi state government can control prices of vegetables and other essential goods.
Majority feels that Delhi is very unsafe for women
As per the ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen survey, there is a divided opinion with 47% saying that crime is increasing as Delhi police is busy protecting VIPs and 40% saying that absence of fear of law among people is the reason behind increase in crime in Delhi. At an overall level almost 1/3rd of respondents feel that the poor policing is the most important reason behind increase in crime against women. Across both genders and all regions majority feels that the city is very unsafe for women.
The opinion poll has been conducted by ABP News-Dainik Bhaskar-Nielsen with 6340 respondents. The survey was conducted on field between 29th October 2013 to 14th November 27, 2013.
