If Lok Sabha polls are held now, Modi led NDA will witness landslide victory: India TV opinion polls

New Delhi: India TV has predicted that if Lok Sabha elections are held now, prime minister Narendra Modi-led National Democratic Alliance (NDA) can register a landslide victory on 362 Lok sabha seats out of a total of 543. The prediction is made following a nationwide opinion poll by India TV-Matrize News Communication.

The results of the survey titled ‘Desh Ki Awaaz’ (Voice of the Nation) were telecast on India’s No. 1 news channel India TV on July 29 at 4 p.m.

According to the survey, Congress-led United Progressive Alliance (UPA) is projected to win only 97 lok sabha seats if general elections are held now, with ‘Others’ including small, regional parties and independents projected to win 84 seats.

The survey says, NDA is projected to get 41 per cent votes, UPA may get 28 per cent and others 31 per cent votes, if elections are held now.

Asked about their first choice for Prime Minister, 48 per cent said they would want to see Narendra Modi again as PM. Modi was followed by Rahul Gandhi with 11 percent, Mamata Banerjee 8 percent, Sonia Gandhi 7 percent, Mayawati 6 percent, Sharad Pawar 6 percent, and Arvind Kejriwal 5 percent, Nitish Kumar 4 percent, K Chandrashekhar Rao 3 pcercent and Priyanka Vadra with 2 percent.

Asked who is the strongest political opponent of Modi, 23 percent respondents favoured Rahul Gandhi, while 19 percent opted for Arvind Kejriwal. 11 per cent favoured Mamata Banerjee, and 8 per cent each opted for Nitish Kumar and Sonia Gandhi.

The India TV-Matrize Opinion Poll ‘Desh Ki Awaaz’ was conducted from 11-24 July, in 136 out of 543 parliamentary constituencies of India with a sample size of 34,000 respondents, among whom 19,830 were males and 14,170 were females.

The state-wise break-up given in the survey makes interesting reading.

In the most populous state Uttar Pradesh, NDA may win a whopping 76 out of 80 Lok sabha seats, with UPA and others projected to win only two seats each. In Bihar, NDA may win 35 out of a total of 40 seats, and the UPA may win five seats.

In Maharashtra, NDA may win 37 out of a total 48 lok sabha seats, while non-BJP opposition may win the remaining 11 seats.

The ruling DMK-led UPA in Tamil Nadu is projected to win 38 out of a total of 39 seats, leaving the lone remaining seat to NDA. In LDF-ruled Kerala, the non-BJP opposition can sweep all the 20 Lok sabha seats in the state.

In TMC-ruled West Bengal, Mamata Banerjee’s Trinamool Congress is projected to win 26 out of a total of 42 seats, with NDA projected to win 14 and UPA two.

According to state-wise break up given by the survey agency, Gujarat has total 26 seats out of which NDA can get 26 and UPA 0. While in Maharashtra, there are total 48 seats, out of which NDA can get 37 and UPA 11.

Goa has total 2 and both will be named to NDA. Rajasthan has total 25 and NDA will get all 25. Madhya Pradesh has total 29, NDA can get 28 and UPA may get 1. Chhattisgarh has total 11 out of which NDA may get 10 and UPA 1.

Below is the seat wise prediction for all the states.

West Bengal: Total 42, NDA 14, UPA 2, Others (TMC) 26.

Bihar: Total 40, NDA 35, UPA 5.

Jharkhand: Total 14, NDA 13, UPA 1.

Odisha:Total 21, NDA 11, UPA 2, Others (includes BJD) 8.

Himachal Pradesh: Total 4. NDA 4.

Punjab: Total 13, NDA 3, UPA 3, Others (includes AAP) 7.

Haryana: Total 10, NDA 9, UPA 1.

Jammu & Kashmir, Laddakh: Total 6, NDA 3, UPA 0, Others 3.

Delhi: Total 7, NDA 7, UPA 0, Others 0.

Uttar Pradesh: Total 80, NDA 76, UPA 2, Others 2.

Uttarakhand: Total 5, NDA 5, UPA 0.